EMD Aceuchal vs UP Segureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EMD
1 - 1
CPO
45%
25%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CPG
0 - 0
EMD
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EMD
2 - 1
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
EMD
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ZAF
1 - 1
EMD
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SEG
0 - 1
CDE
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CPO
3 - 0
SEG
54%
23%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SEG
2 - 3
UCL
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CPG
4 - 1
SEG
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPR
3 - 2
SEG
49%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |