EMD Aceuchal vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 0
EMD
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 0
AZU
48%
26%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 0
EMD
34%
25%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 0
MIA
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
EMD
2 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 2
PLA
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 0
ARR
55%
24%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 0
EMD
34%
25%
40%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 1
ARR
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ARR
2 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |