EMD Aceuchal vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
EMD
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
EMD
2 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
EMD
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
EMD
3 - 2
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
EMD
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
TRU
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 1
ARR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AZU
2 - 1
ARR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
JER
19%
24%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |