EMD Aceuchal B vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+446%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Aceuchal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SFO
1 - 1
ACE
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 1
RHI
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ACE
2 - 1
MON
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 1
ACE
41%
21%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CFS
3 - 1
ACE
60%
18%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 2
EXT
50%
20%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SEG
1 - 1
UDF
32%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 0
HER
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAT
2 - 2
UDF
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
5 - 2
GUA
22%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |