Embid vs Sabiñan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
EMB
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SES
3 - 1
EMB
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
EMB
2 - 0
CDB
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GOT
0 - 1
EMB
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
EMB
2 - 2
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sabiñan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAB
2 - 4
SES
31%
21%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAB
2 - 3
PAR
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ANI
3 - 0
SAB
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAB
2 - 3
TOR
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 4
SAB
59%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |