Embid vs Paracuellos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+195%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANI
3 - 0
EMB
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SES
3 - 3
EMB
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
EMB
1 - 1
DAR
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 2
EMB
48%
22%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EMB
3 - 0
GOT
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paracuellos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
SES
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
DAR
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 1
PAR
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
GOT
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RIC
6 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |