Embid vs Alfamen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EMB
0 - 0
SES
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIC
4 - 0
EMB
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EMB
0 - 4
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EPI
4 - 0
EMB
69%
17%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EMB
2 - 2
CFI
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alfamen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
TOR
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EPI
2 - 2
ALF
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 1
CFI
62%
18%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 6
ALF
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 1
GOT
46%
21%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |