EM Mahdia vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
EMM
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EMM
0 - 2
ESH
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EMM
1 - 0
ASA
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OUE
1 - 2
EMM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
EMM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
OUE
0 - 1
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
BEN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
ENS
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
KAL
3 - 2
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 1
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |