EM Mahdia vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ASA
2 - 1
EMM
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EMM
2 - 1
OUE
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EMM
1 - 1
GRO
17%
27%
56%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
JEN
2 - 1
EMM
57%
27%
17%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 3
EMM
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 4
BEN
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASA
2 - 2
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
CSS
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |