EM Mahdia vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
EMM
0 - 3
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ODK
1 - 1
EMM
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EAM
1 - 0
EMM
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
EMM
0 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EMM
2 - 1
ESB
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 0
BEN
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
ASD
37%
31%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 1
SPO
67%
22%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 0
SPO
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |