EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 0
EMM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
EMM
2 - 0
SFA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ESH
3 - 0
EMM
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EMM
1 - 1
GAB
16%
26%
59%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 1
EMM
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 0
ASA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 0
SEL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SFA
2 - 1
ASA
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
TAT
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |