Ely Rangers vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ERA
5 - 2
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 0
ERA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
ERA
0 - 1
TON
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ERA
3 - 1
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 0
MAE
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 0
NWP
27%
25%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRO
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 3
PON
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |