Ely Rangers vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ERA
4 - 0
BRY
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 3
ERA
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BFC
4 - 0
ERA
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 2
ERA
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
DIN
4 - 2
ERA
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MAE
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
3 - 0
CAR
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
LID
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |