Elverum vs Raufoss II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.1%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
13º
3º
10
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 3
ELV
12%
15%
73%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ELV
3 - 2
MOL
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EID
4 - 3
ELV
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ELV
1 - 3
HON
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 4
ELV
18%
18%
64%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
0 - 2
FLO
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
2 - 4
BRU
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
5 - 0
RAU
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RAU
0 - 2
MOL
18%
18%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EID
2 - 1
RAU
93%
6%
2%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |