Elverum vs IL Ulfstind analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
8º
3º
24
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 3
ELV
11%
15%
74%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
6 - 1
HAM
77%
13%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 3
ELV
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 1
MJO
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ELV
5 - 1
KON
71%
15%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
IL Ulfstind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ILU
3 - 1
FFK
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 4
ILU
55%
19%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ILU
2 - 4
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
ILU
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 1
ILU
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |