SV Elversberg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ELV
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 2
BOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
S04
4 - 0
ELV
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 1
WUP
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ELV
1 - 1
IDA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |