Elpidiense vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elpidiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MIG
3 - 1
EPD
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
EPD
0 - 1
CAM
17%
23%
60%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
4 - 0
EPD
69%
20%
11%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASB
2 - 0
EPD
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
EPD
0 - 1
MDC
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
OLY
2 - 2
CIV
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ASB
1 - 1
CIV
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CIV
3 - 1
MDC
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CIV
1 - 1
ATE
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |