Celik Zenica vs TOSK Tesanj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
13º
3º
40
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celik Zenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 1
NSO
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NSO
4 - 2
ČEL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ČEL
1 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
TMS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
ČEL
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TOSK Tesanj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TOS
1 - 0
GRD
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
TOS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TOS
0 - 2
BUD
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NSO
3 - 0
TOS
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOS
3 - 1
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |