CD Elgorriaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Elgorriaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ZUI
0 - 5
ELG
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
3 - 1
ZAR
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 3
ELG
16%
20%
63%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ELG
7 - 1
CDA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 0
ELG
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
ARI
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARI
1 - 3
CDL
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ADC
3 - 0
ARI
15%
20%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARI
4 - 0
CDF
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |