Elgin City vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ELG
2 - 3
BLA
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
ELG
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BER
2 - 3
ELG
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KEI
0 - 4
ELG
17%
21%
63%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ELG
4 - 0
STI
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
DUN
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
EAS
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
DUN
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 1
AYR
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
AIR
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |