Elgin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 1
ELG
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
1 - 4
QUE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
0 - 0
BLA
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BON
5 - 4
ELG
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ELG
4 - 4
BON
26%
22%
53%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BON
0 - 5
ARB
55%
21%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ARB
4 - 0
CLY
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 1
ARB
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
QUE
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
NAI
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |