Elgeco Plus vs 3FB Toliara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
7º
2º
14
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgeco Plus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 0
DAT
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZFC
1 - 1
ELG
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MMA
1 - 3
ELG
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CNA
0 - 1
ELG
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CFF
0 - 0
ELG
51%
21%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
3FB
0 - 3
CFF
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CFF
1 - 0
3FB
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
3FB
1 - 0
RJM
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
3FB
2 - 4
MMA
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
3FB
2 - 2
DAT
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |