Primera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-4
Eldense vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 1
ELD
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ELD
2 - 0
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 2
ELD
53%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 2
ELD
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 0
ATH
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 1
ELD
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
RMC
3 - 0
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 2
RMC
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RMC
0 - 0
FUE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |