Eldense vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ELD
2 - 2
HEL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ELC
2 - 1
ELD
75%
14%
12%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ELD
2 - 1
ALI
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
LOR
2 - 1
ELD
74%
14%
12%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ELD
1 - 0
SOR
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ASP
0 - 2
ELC
76%
13%
11%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ALI
6 - 1
ASP
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ASP
4 - 1
LOR
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SOR
5 - 0
ASP
67%
16%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ASP
3 - 1
ALZ
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |