Élitei Project vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Élitei Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ELD
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ELD
3 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 4
ELD
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ELD
3 - 0
MUR
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
POB
0 - 2
ELD
28%
23%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
ATZ
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
LAL
31%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AYO
3 - 2
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 5
UDC
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |