Élitei Project vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Élitei Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 4
ELD
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ELD
3 - 0
ALM
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PET
0 - 1
ELD
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ELD
1 - 0
RAF
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
ELD
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
THD
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
THD
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
THD
1 - 3
BEN
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
THD
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |