Elche vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 0
RAY
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
XER
0 - 1
ELC
40%
32%
28%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
VCF
0 - 1
ELC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
ELC
1 - 1
FIG
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
RMC
3 - 2
HER
53%
26%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
RAY
1 - 0
RMC
53%
27%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1987 |
RMC
0 - 1
DEP
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
XER
0 - 0
RMC
44%
30%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1987 |
RMC
1 - 0
OVI
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |