Elche vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 0
ELC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CAD
0 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ELC
4 - 4
ATM
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
5 - 1
ELC
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 1
BET
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
DEP
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
CAS
1 - 0
RJA
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
RJA
2 - 0
GDE
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |