Elche vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
CAA
2 - 1
ELC
58%
19%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
IMP
1 - 1
ELC
59%
18%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
ELC
6 - 1
ORI
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
ALM
1 - 3
ELC
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
RJA
6 - 2
LIN
89%
7%
4%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
ALI
3 - 1
RJA
58%
19%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
RJA
5 - 0
ALB
59%
19%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
GAB
2 - 0
RJA
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
RJA
4 - 0
CIE
88%
8%
5%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |