Elche vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
ELC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ELC
2 - 1
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
REC
2 - 1
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CCF
2 - 0
ELC
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RAY
1 - 2
CEL
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 1
RAY
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BET
3 - 1
RAY
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |