Elche vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 2
ELC
25%
28%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
OVI
1 - 1
ELC
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ELC
1 - 1
MLL
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
ELC
2 - 1
GRA
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
MLL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 2
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
OVI
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 3
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
MAJ
1 - 0
LUG
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |