Elche vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
ELC
24%
29%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 2
ELC
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ELC
3 - 1
CDT
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 1
ELC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
RAY
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
SEV
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
CDT
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CCF
3 - 3
LUG
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 2
LUG
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |