Elche vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 0
ELC
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 0
ELC
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
ELC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
LUG
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CCF
1 - 2
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |