Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CCF
2 - 0
ELC
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ELC
0 - 0
LEV
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SLA
0 - 1
ELC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ELC
0 - 1
NUM
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HUE
0 - 0
ELC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 2
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HER
4 - 2
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BET
1 - 1
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |