Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 2
ELC
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HUE
3 - 2
ELC
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ELC
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 2
ELC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 2
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 2
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |