Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ELC
3 - 0
LEV
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1982 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 1
ELC
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
ELC
1 - 1
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
ELC
0 - 1
ALM
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
HER
1 - 2
OSA
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1982 |
HER
2 - 1
ELC
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 1
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
VCF
2 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |