Elche vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GIM
2 - 1
ELC
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
HER
3 - 2
ELC
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1932 |
ELC
4 - 0
ALI
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
IMP
2 - 0
ELC
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
HER
6 - 0
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
HER
3 - 2
ELC
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
IMP
0 - 2
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
ALI
1 - 3
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
HER
6 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |