Elche vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
ELC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIR
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CCF
2 - 0
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 0
ELC
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 2
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CCF
0 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
GIM
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |