Elche vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 4
ELC
12%
23%
65%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 2
ELC
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ELC
5 - 1
BAD
71%
19%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAB
0 - 0
ELC
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ELC
0 - 2
LEV
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CLU
0 - 0
CDU
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 3
CDU
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CDU
2 - 0
RSO
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ECI
1 - 0
CDU
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CDU
1 - 0
ECI
31%
27%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |