Elche Sporting vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 0
ELS
61%
18%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 4
LIC
13%
16%
71%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
ELS
33%
22%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
3 - 0
ELD
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 0
ELS
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
7 - 1
ONI
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
5 - 0
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UDL
13 - 4
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 5
BIA
60%
19%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
HOY
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |