Ilicitano vs Thader Murcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
1 - 1
ELC
21%
21%
57%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 1
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 1
ALM
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
ELC
17%
21%
61%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
ELC
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Thader Murcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
THA
3 - 0
CAM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 1
THA
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIJ
1 - 0
THA
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
THA
4 - 2
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PIN
4 - 2
THA
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |