Ilicitano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
ELC
1 - 1
ELD
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ELC
0 - 0
REC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
MUR
4 - 0
ELC
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
ELC
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
35%
30%
35%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
RJA
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
CDB
2 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |