Ilicitano vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
ELC
65%
21%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 0
ORI
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ELC
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ELC
4 - 0
ALM
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
ELC
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 4
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIL
1 - 0
RAY
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
4 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALZ
3 - 0
RAY
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 1
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |