Ilicitano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ELD
1 - 0
ELC
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ELC
0 - 1
ONT
32%
27%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GAN
1 - 1
ELC
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ELC
0 - 0
UDP
44%
26%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 1
ELC
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 3
PEG
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PEG
2 - 1
OND
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
PEG
36%
28%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PEG
3 - 1
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |