Ilicitano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
ELC
18%
23%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ELC
1 - 2
OND
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ELC
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ELC
0 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CAS
0 - 1
ELC
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
PEG
2 - 1
ELD
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 1
PEG
62%
23%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
VIN
2 - 1
PEG
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PEG
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
OND
1 - 0
PEG
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |