Ilicitano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
BUR
3 - 0
ELC
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
ELC
0 - 4
JOV
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
PIN
2 - 1
ELC
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
ELC
4 - 0
LLI
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
BEN
1 - 2
ELC
53%
27%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
PEG
1 - 0
JOV
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
LLI
0 - 1
PEG
16%
26%
58%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
PEG
1 - 1
UTI
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
ELD
0 - 0
PEG
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
PEG
3 - 0
BUR
27%
28%
46%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +4 |