Ilicitano vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
ELC
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ELC
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 4
ELC
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ELC
0 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ELC
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 0
ORI
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ORI
3 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
ORI
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORI
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |