Ilicitano vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ELC
3 - 0
SIL
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 3
ELC
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 0
ELC
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
ALZ
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
NUC
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOR
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |