Ilicitano vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 0
ELC
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ELC
4 - 0
ACE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 0
ELC
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 0
RIB
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LLO
1 - 1
ELC
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
BOR
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NUC
1 - 0
NOV
32%
27%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ELD
0 - 0
NOV
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ALZ
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |