Ilicitano vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
CAN
0 - 0
ELC
49%
27%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 2
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
BEN
2 - 0
ELC
78%
16%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
SAG
0 - 0
ELC
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 1
OND
43%
28%
30%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ASP
3 - 0
DEN
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 0
CAN
60%
24%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
OND
3 - 0
ASP
59%
24%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASP
2 - 2
BEN
26%
30%
44%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |